China lifts HPAI poultry export restrictions for 17 states
Seventeen states are no longer facing HPAI restrictions for exports of poultry to China, the National Chicken Council says.
The Agriculture Department has updated its website to indicate China has lifted HPAI-related export restrictions for those states for products produced after May 15. China had previously been blocking raw poultry imports from states affected by HPAI outbreaks, and 27 states continue to remain under restrictions, NCC says.
“China is a major market for U.S. chicken, especially paws, and the lifting of export restrictions and the reinstatement of the regionalization framework is a significant development,” NCC President Harrison Kircher said in the release. He added, “Restoration of access would have a meaningful impact on export volumes of American chicken.”
States that no longer face restrictions include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia and West Virginia.
So how do you win a trade war?
It depends. At least that’s the premise of a new book on the subject from economist Chad Bown and Financial Times columnist Soumaya Keynes.
It depends on what “winning” looks like — whether it’s avoiding an actual war, absorbing less economic damage than everyone else or getting other countries to change their economic model. It also depends on the economic costs governments are willing, or able, to shoulder and public perceptions of who is bearing the costs.
“How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy” provides an enigma machine for decoding the current trade landscape.
Keynes and Bown, a former official of the Biden and Obama administrations, walk readers through what is at stake in a trade war, who participates, and the weapons and defensive measures available with levity. Footnotes are as likely to send a reader to a Reddit forum as they are an economics paper.
The book sparks questions in abundance — including “just how bad was Bown’s gluten-free apple pie” and “what exactly is a ‘soccer brochure.’” But it also attempts to cut through the political chatter and weigh in on some of the foundational questions driving global trade policy today, like when and how to subsidize industries, how to reduce import dependencies and the role of stockpiling.
“It's not a book about Trump,” Keynes said at a launch event last week. “It's a book about the context. It's meant to help you understand where things go next and where things go after Trump.”
Objections raised to $7.25B Roundup settlement
Bayer subsidiary Monsanto is disputing claims that a proposed $7.25 billion class action settlement of Roundup litigation is unconstitutional.
Lawyers for plaintiffs suing Monsanto over claims that Roundup exposure caused their non‑Hodgkin lymphoma have objected in Missouri state court to the proposed settlement. They have also filed a notice in federal court in Missouri seeking to move the case there.
“The class seeks to bind a group of millions upon millions of people, many who have not been conceived and millions who are children, to the terms of the settlement via a so-called ‘futures’ subclass reaching anyone who ‘saw’ anyone using Roundup. Such a class is unconstitutional and unprecedented in the annals of U.S. jurisprudence,” according to a court filing by the plaintiffs’ lawyers.
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Bayer released a statement saying it remains “confident that the long-term and well-financed proposed class settlement plan, which is supported by plaintiff law firms representing thousands of potential class members, is fair to all claimants, and warrants approval by the court,” according to an article in The New Lede.
U.S. and India may be close to inking trade deal
The future of the U.S.-India agriculture trade is in focus after Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s first trip to the world’s most populous nation.
The visit was widely seen as an effort by the Trump administration to boost frayed relations with the South Asian country. Trade issues and the U.S.’s recent outreach to India’s foe Pakistan have taken a toll since February, when the White House announced a framework for an interim trade agreement with India.
Rubio on Saturday offered up a reminder of the deal while praising U.S. diplomats. “Because of their great work, India has committed to purchasing $500 billion in U.S. goods over the next five years focusing on energy, technology, and agriculture,” Rubio said on social media.
Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said he and Rubio “spoke about the value of concluding at an early date the final text of the interim agreement regarding reciprocal and mutually beneficial trade,” according to a transcript of a joint news conference in New Delhi.
Rubio, on behalf of Trump, also invited Prime Minister Narendra Modi to visit the White House, according to a U.S. readout of the meeting.
Rubio also stressed that the U.S. “will not let Iran hold the global energy market hostage and affirmed that U.S. energy products have the potential to diversify India’s energy supply.”
The Trump administration has been seeking to reduce India’s purchases of Russian oil in favor of petroleum supplies from the U.S. and its allies. That effort has been complicated by war in the Middle East that’s set off a global energy crunch.
“The Trump administration has been very forthright in putting forward its foreign policy outlook as America first,” Jaishankar told reporters. “Now, where we are concerned, we have a view of India first. So, both of us are obviously driven by our respective national interests.”
The U.S. exported roughly $3 billion worth of agricultural products to India last year, up nearly 30% from 2024, led by tree nuts and other horticulture products. Exports so far this year are trailing the same period last year on a dollar value basis, according to USDA data.
Final Word
“We’ve never been closer to India, and India can count on me 100 percent and our country. If they ever need help, they know where to call. They call right here.” — President Donald Trump, by phone, over the weekend to an Independence Day reception in India attended by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar and U.S. Ambassador to India Sergio Gor.

